Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000613 0.000705 0.000803 0.000915 0.001038 0.001169 0.001320
2025-05-18 0.000475 0.000603 0.000748 0.000925 0.001133 0.001369 0.001653
2025-05-25 0.000398 0.000540 0.000711 0.000928 0.001193 0.001504 0.001891
2025-06-01 0.000326 0.000472 0.000656 0.000899 0.001207 0.001578 0.002056
2025-06-08 0.000271 0.000417 0.000609 0.000872 0.001215 0.001642 0.002202
2025-06-15 0.000235 0.000383 0.000584 0.000869 0.001251 0.001737 0.002387
2025-06-22 0.000206 0.000354 0.000563 0.000867 0.001286 0.001828 0.002568
2025-06-29 0.000179 0.000325 0.000537 0.000856 0.001305 0.001899 0.002722
2025-07-06 0.000155 0.000296 0.000509 0.000839 0.001314 0.001954 0.002857
2025-07-13 0.000142 0.000285 0.000507 0.000858 0.001373 0.002077 0.003083
2025-07-20 0.000130 0.000272 0.000501 0.000870 0.001423 0.002188 0.003293
2025-07-27 0.000115 0.000253 0.000482 0.000861 0.001439 0.002252 0.003441
2025-08-03 0.000099 0.000231 0.000459 0.000844 0.001444 0.002301 0.003573
2025-08-10 0.000091 0.000222 0.000454 0.000856 0.001492 0.002413 0.003793
2025-08-17 0.000082 0.000210 0.000444 0.000858 0.001525 0.002503 0.003983
2025-08-24 0.000069 0.000189 0.000417 0.000831 0.001510 0.002522 0.004074
2025-08-31 0.000059 0.000171 0.000392 0.000805 0.001497 0.002542 0.004163
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000161 0.000381 0.000803 0.001519 0.002616 0.004332
2025-09-14 0.000047 0.000151 0.000371 0.000801 0.001543 0.002690 0.004503
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000140 0.000357 0.000790 0.001550 0.002741 0.004640
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000129 0.000341 0.000774 0.001548 0.002776 0.004753
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000126 0.000343 0.000792 0.001604 0.002902 0.005005
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000123 0.000341 0.000804 0.001649 0.003012 0.005235